Nintendo Switch 2 Sales Projected for 2025

Gaming analyst Mat Piscatella forecasts robust US sales for the Nintendo Switch 2, projecting approximately 4.3 million units sold in 2025, contingent on a first-half launch. This prediction mirrors the original Switch's impressive 4.8 million unit sales by the end of 2017, a figure that exceeded initial projections and necessitated air-freighting additional consoles to meet demand. The anticipation surrounding the Switch 2 is palpable, frequently trending on social media, but translating this hype into substantial sales remains uncertain.

Several crucial factors will influence the Switch 2's performance in 2025, including launch timing and the console's game library. Piscatella's projection of 4.3 million units represents roughly one-third of the total US console market (excluding handheld PCs like the Steam Deck). He anticipates potential supply chain challenges, echoing the original Switch launch, but acknowledges the possibility of Nintendo proactively mitigating these issues through strategic stockpiling.

While optimistic about the Switch 2's sales potential, Piscatella anticipates the PlayStation 5 retaining its position as the leading console in the US market. The Switch 2's considerable buzz is a positive indicator, yet the highly anticipated release of Grand Theft Auto 6 in 2025 could significantly bolster PS5 sales. Ultimately, the Switch 2's success hinges on the quality of its hardware and the competitiveness of its initial game lineup.

The success of the Switch 2, therefore, is not guaranteed despite the considerable hype. Its performance will depend on a confluence of factors, including a strong launch title lineup and effective supply chain management.